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Fluidity


This is a nonfiction audiobook narrated by Matt Arnold with the permission of the author, David Chapman. Full text at: https://meaningness.com

You can support the podcast and get episodes a week early, by supporting the Patreon: https://www.patreon.com/m/fluidityaudiobooks

Original music by Kevin MacLeod. https://incompetech.com/music/

Artwork on this webpage is by Barry Gohn. https://www.deviantart.com/bzgbg

Search for "Fluidity" on Apple Podcasts, Spotify, Amazon Music, Deezer, Gaana, Player.FM, the Radio.com mobile app, and RadioPublic.

Dec 4, 2022

Probability theory seems an attractive foundation for rationalism—but it is not up to the job.
https://metarationality.com/probabilism
 
Leaving the casino - Probabilistic rationalism encourages you to view the whole world as a gigantic casino—but mostly it is not like that.
https://metarationality.com/probabilism-applicability
 
What probability can’t do - If probability theory were an epistemology, we’d want it to tell us how confident to be in our beliefs. Unfortunately, it can’t do that.
https://metarationality.com/probability-limitations
 
Mentioned in this episode:
 
Probability Theory Does Not Extend Logic
https://metarationality.com/probability-and-logic
 
"Bayes: A Kinda-Sorta Masterpost" by Nostalgiabraist
https://nostalgebraist.tumblr.com/post/161645122124/bayes-a-kinda-sorta-masterpost
 
The “Potential Problems” section of the Stanford Encyclopedia of Philosophy article on “Bayesian Epistemology”
https://plato.stanford.edu/entries/epistemology-bayesian/#PotPro
 
You can support the podcast and get episodes a week early, by supporting the Patreon:
https://www.patreon.com/m/fluidityaudiobooks
 
If you like the show, consider buying me a coffee:
https://www.buymeacoffee.com/mattarnold
 
Original music by Kevin MacLeod.
 
This podcast is under a Creative Commons Attribution Non-Commercial International 4.0 License.