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Fluidity

This is a nonfiction audiobook narrated by Matt Arnold with the permission of the author, David Chapman. Full text at: https://meaningness.com

You can support the podcast and get episodes a week early, by supporting the Patreon: https://www.patreon.com/m/fluidityaudiobooks

Original music by Kevin MacLeod. https://incompetech.com/music/

Artwork on this webpage is by Barry Gohn. https://www.deviantart.com/bzgbg

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  1. All Episodes
  2. Probabilism, Part One

Probabilism, Part One

Dec 4, 2022

Probability theory seems an attractive foundation for rationalism—but it is not up to the job.
https://metarationality.com/probabilism
 
Leaving the casino - Probabilistic rationalism encourages you to view the whole world as a gigantic casino—but mostly it is not like that.
https://metarationality.com/probabilism-applicability
 
What probability can’t do - If probability theory were an epistemology, we’d want it to tell us how confident to be in our beliefs. Unfortunately, it can’t do that.
https://metarationality.com/probability-limitations
 
Mentioned in this episode:
 
Probability Theory Does Not Extend Logic
https://metarationality.com/probability-and-logic
 
"Bayes: A Kinda-Sorta Masterpost" by Nostalgiabraist
https://nostalgebraist.tumblr.com/post/161645122124/bayes-a-kinda-sorta-masterpost
 
The “Potential Problems” section of the Stanford Encyclopedia of Philosophy article on “Bayesian Epistemology”
https://plato.stanford.edu/entries/epistemology-bayesian/#PotPro
 
You can support the podcast and get episodes a week early, by supporting the Patreon:
https://www.patreon.com/m/fluidityaudiobooks
 
If you like the show, consider buying me a coffee:
https://www.buymeacoffee.com/mattarnold
 
Original music by Kevin MacLeod.
 
This podcast is under a Creative Commons Attribution Non-Commercial International 4.0 License.